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Zvijezda 09 vs Laktaši Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

RS · Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00

Zvijezda 09

PPG 1.70 · HOME

LAST 5

LW ···

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Laktaši

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

LAST 5

WW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.0% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-19.6%0-24.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.1%1-112.9%1-26.3%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.8%2-18.7%2-24.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.0%3-13.9%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.7% 26.3% 3.80 +73.7%

Draw 26.6% 30.3% 3.30 -7.3%

Away win 27.7% 54.6% 1.83 -29.6%

Over 2.5 50.1% 48.8% 2.05 +2.7%

Over 3.5 28.1% 34.5% 2.90 -11.1%

BTTS 53.0% 59.9% 1.67 -11.5%

Home O1.5 37.8% — — —

Away O1.5 28.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.0%

H 46% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 1–0 13.1%

#3 0–0 9.7%

#4 2–0 8.8%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zvijezda 091.3

Laktaši1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ZVIJEZDA 09 · PPG 1.70

LAKTAŠI · PPG 1.64

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.36, combined xG 2.33 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zvijezda 09 (H) 45.7%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +73.7%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -7.3%

Laktaši (A) 27.7%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -29.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zvijezda 09 face Laktaši in Bosnia - 1st League - RS on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zvijezda 09 a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Laktaši 28%, so Zvijezda 09 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Zvijezda 09 and 1.0 for Laktaši (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zvijezda 09 are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.64 for Laktaši. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.7%. This match finished 0-3.

Zvijezda 09 vs Laktaši Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

Match Preview & Prediction

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