Today / Bosnia - 1st League - RS / Drina Zvornik vs Slavija

Drina Zvornik vs Slavija Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

RS · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:30

Drina Zvornik

PPG 1.61 · HOME

LAST 5

LDW ··

UPCOMING

Slavija

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLW ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 66% chance

xG gap +1.45 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-13.6%0-21.6%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.8%1-18.4%1-23.6%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.3%2-19.6%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.6%3-17.4%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-08.5%4+-17.3%4+-23.1%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.6% 66.7% 1.50 -1.6%

Draw 19.0% 26.3% 3.80 -16.7%

Away win 15.4% 18.2% 5.50 -9.2%

Over 2.5 63.7% 55.6% 1.80 +14.7%

Over 3.5 40.5% 40.8% 2.45 -0.8%

BTTS 55.3% 58.8% 1.70 -6.0%

Home O1.5 66.3% — — —

Away O1.5 24.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.3%

H 66% / xG 2.3-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.3%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–1 8.4%

#4 3–0 8.6%

#5 1–0 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Drina Zvornik2.3

Slavija0.9

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DRINA ZVORNIK · PPG 1.61

SLAVIJA · PPG 0.92

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

66%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.45 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Drina Zvornik (H) 65.6%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -1.6%

Draw 19.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -16.7%

Slavija (A) 15.4%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -9.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Drina Zvornik face Slavija in Bosnia - 1st League - RS on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Drina Zvornik a 66% chance, the draw 19% and Slavija 15%, so Drina Zvornik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Drina Zvornik and 0.9 for Slavija (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Drina Zvornik are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 0.92 for Slavija. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.7%.

Drina Zvornik vs Slavija Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

Match Preview & Prediction

More Bosnia - 1st League - RS Predictions