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Fountain Gate vs Young Africans Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Matchday 5 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 13:00

Fountain Gate

PPG 1.39 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Young Africans

PPG 2.09 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -0.79 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-115.1%0-211.8%0-36.1%0-4+3.4%1 1-07.5%1-111.7%1-29.1%1-34.8%1-4+2.6%2 2-02.9%2-14.5%2-23.6%2-31.9%2-4+1.0%3 3-00.8%3-11.2%3-20.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.2% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 59.5% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 48.0% — — —

Home O1.5 30.8% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.1%

#2 0–2✓ 11.8%

#3 1–1 11.7%

#4 1–2 9.1%

#5 0–0 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fountain Gate0.8

Young Africans1.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FOUNTAIN GATE · PPG 1.39

YOUNG AFRICANS · PPG 2.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.79 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Fountain Gate (H) 16.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Young Africans (A) 59.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fountain Gate face Young Africans in Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fountain Gate a 16% chance, the draw 24% and Young Africans 60%, so Young Africans are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Fountain Gate and 1.6 for Young Africans (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fountain Gate are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 2.09 for Young Africans. This match finished 0-2.

Fountain Gate vs Young Africans Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Match Preview & Prediction

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