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Sokol Zápy vs Jablonec II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Group B · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Sokol Zápy

PPG 2.36 · HOME

LAST 5

WWD ··

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Jablonec II

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWD ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.90 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.2%0-22.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-07.3%1-19.1%1-25.6%1-32.3%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.8%2-19.7%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.6%3-16.9%3-24.3%3-31.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-16.0%4+-23.7%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.1% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 24.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 60.8% — — —

Home O1.5 59.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.1%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 1–2 5.6%

#5 3–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sokol Zápy2.1

Jablonec II1.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SOKOL ZÁPY · PPG 2.36

JABLONEC II · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.90 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sokol Zápy (H) 53.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jablonec II (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sokol Zápy face Jablonec II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sokol Zápy a 53% chance, the draw 22% and Jablonec II 25%, so Sokol Zápy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Sokol Zápy and 1.2 for Jablonec II (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sokol Zápy are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 1.25 for Jablonec II. This match finished 1-1.

Sokol Zápy vs Jablonec II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Match Preview & Prediction

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