Today / Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B / Sokol Brozany vs Pardubice II

Sokol Brozany vs Pardubice II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00

Sokol Brozany

PPG 1.31 · HOME

LAST 5

DLD ··

UPCOMING

Pardubice II

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 57.5% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-17.6%0-26.0%0-33.2%0-4+1.8%1 1-06.9%1-111.0%1-28.8%1-34.6%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.0%2-18.0%2-26.4%2-33.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.4%3-13.9%3-23.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.9%4+-21.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% 34.7% 2.88 -0.1%

Draw 24.1% 30.3% 3.30 -12.3%

Away win 41.3% 47.6% 2.10 -13.3%

Over 2.5 53.9% 62.5% 1.60 -13.8%

Over 3.5 35.6% 41.2% 2.43 -13.5%

BTTS 57.5% 66.7% 1.50 -13.8%

Home O1.5 40.0% 45.0% 2.22 -11.2%

Away O1.5 48.5% 54.1% 1.85 -10.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob57.5%

A 41% / xG 1.5-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 0–2 6.0%

#5 0–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sokol Brozany1.5

Pardubice II1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 35.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SOKOL BROZANY · PPG 1.31

PARDUBICE II · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sokol Brozany (H) 34.7%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -0.1%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -12.3%

Pardubice II (A) 41.3%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -13.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sokol Brozany face Pardubice II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sokol Brozany a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Pardubice II 41%, so Pardubice II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sokol Brozany and 1.6 for Pardubice II (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sokol Brozany are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 0.88 for Pardubice II. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +1.8%.

Sokol Brozany vs Pardubice II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B Predictions