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Písek vs Motorlet Praha Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Group A · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Písek

PPG 1.58 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLL ·

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Motorlet Praha

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-16.8%0-24.1%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.3%1-111.3%1-26.9%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.5%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.3%3-15.3%3-23.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.2%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 29.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 33.5% — — —

BTTS 55.0% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 22%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 1–2 6.9%

#5 1–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Písek1.7

Motorlet Praha1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 33.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PÍSEK · PPG 1.58

MOTORLET PRAHA · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Písek (H) 46.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Motorlet Praha (A) 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Písek face Motorlet Praha in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Písek a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Motorlet Praha 29%, so Písek are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Písek and 1.2 for Motorlet Praha (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Písek are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.11 for Motorlet Praha. This match finished 0-2.

Písek vs Motorlet Praha Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Match Preview & Prediction

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