Today / Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A / Motorlet Praha vs Dukla Praha II
Motorlet Praha vs Dukla Praha II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A
Group A · Matchday 3 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 16:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 51.4% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 52% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.4% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%
Form & verdict
MOTORLET PRAHA · PPG 1.41
DUKLA PRAHA II · PPG 1.32
xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Motorlet Praha face Dukla Praha II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Motorlet Praha a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Dukla Praha II 23%, so Motorlet Praha are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Motorlet Praha and 1.0 for Dukla Praha II (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Motorlet Praha are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 1.32 for Dukla Praha II. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +24.7%.