Today / Austria - Regionalliga - Mitte / Velden vs Kalsdorf

Velden vs Kalsdorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Mitte

Mitte - 24 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 17:00

Velden

PPG 1.82 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kalsdorf

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-14.5%0-25.2%0-34.0%0-4+3.9%1 1-03.2%1-17.4%1-28.5%1-36.5%1-4+6.3%2 2-02.6%2-16.0%2-26.9%2-35.3%2-4+5.2%3 3-01.4%3-13.3%3-23.8%3-32.9%3-4+2.8%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.9%4+-22.2%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.5% — — —

Draw 20.0% — — —

Away win 52.6% — — —

Over 2.5 75.0% — — —

Over 3.5 55.1% — — —

BTTS 72.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob72.3%

A 53% / xG 1.6-2.3 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 72%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.5%

#2 1–1 7.4%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 2–1✓ 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Velden1.6

Kalsdorf2.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.0% · O3.5 PROB 55.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VELDEN · PPG 1.82

KALSDORF · PPG 1.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.82), Away GOOD (1.55)

Win probability 1X2

Velden (H) 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kalsdorf (A) 52.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Velden face Kalsdorf in Austria - Regionalliga - Mitte on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Velden a 28% chance, the draw 20% and Kalsdorf 53%, so Kalsdorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Velden and 2.3 for Kalsdorf (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Velden are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.55 for Kalsdorf. This match finished 2-1.

Velden vs Kalsdorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Mitte

Match Preview & Prediction

More Austria - Regionalliga - Mitte Predictions