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Deutschlandsber vs Wohnbau Dietach Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Mitte

Mitte - 23 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:00

Deutschlandsber

PPG 1.91 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Wohnbau Dietach

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.8% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-14.8%0-22.8%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.3%1-19.7%1-25.7%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-19.8%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.6%3-16.6%3-23.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-15.3%4+-23.1%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.9% 65.4% 1.53 -12.9%

Draw 21.4% 24.4% 4.10 -12.3%

Away win 21.7% 21.1% 4.75 +3.1%

Over 2.5 61.8% 65.4% 1.53 -5.5%

Over 3.5 39.6% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.9%

H 57% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.8%

#2 1–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 1–0 8.3%

#5 3–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deutschlandsber2.0

Wohnbau Dietach1.2

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.8% · O3.5 PROB 39.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DEUTSCHLANDSBER · PPG 1.91

WOHNBAU DIETACH · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.91) vs P(Home)=56.9%

Win probability 1X2

Deutschlandsber (H) 56.9%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -12.9%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -12.3%

Wohnbau Dietach (A) 21.7%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +3.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deutschlandsber face Wohnbau Dietach in Austria - Regionalliga - Mitte on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deutschlandsber a 57% chance, the draw 21% and Wohnbau Dietach 22%, so Deutschlandsber are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Deutschlandsber and 1.2 for Wohnbau Dietach (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deutschlandsber are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 0.80 for Wohnbau Dietach. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.1%. This match finished 4-1.

Deutschlandsber vs Wohnbau Dietach Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Mitte

Match Preview & Prediction

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