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Treibach vs Union Gurten Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Mitte

Austria - Regionalliga - Mitte logo Austria flag Austria - Regionalliga - Mitte Mitte - 24 Turnerwald-Stadion· Althofen Friday, April 24, 2026 17:00
Treibach logo Treibach PPG 1.36
0-0 MISS
Union Gurten logo Union Gurten PPG 2.08
Away· +89.3% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Treibach face Union Gurten in Austria - Regionalliga - Mitte on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Treibach a 6% chance, the draw 11% and Union Gurten 82%, so Union Gurten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Treibach and 3.1 for Union Gurten (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Treibach are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 2.08 for Union Gurten. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +89.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 6.4%
Odds: 2.35 EV: -85.0%
Draw 11.2%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -56.3%
Away 82.3%
Odds: 2.30 EV: +89.3%
Model lean: Away
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 74.3% Odds: 1.62 +20.4%
Over 3.5 54.2% Odds: —
BTTS 52.3% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-3
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-3
4th 1-2
5th 0-4

Expected Goals (xG)

Treibach
0.80
Union Gurten
3.08

Model Suggestion

Away +89.3% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.

League Track Record

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 40%
Score Hit 40%

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.08) vs Home AVERAGE (1.36)

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