Today / Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A / Dukla Praha II vs Slavia III

Dukla Praha II vs Slavia III Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Group A · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 08:15

Dukla Praha II

PPG 0.84 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDW ·

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Slavia III

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-17.8%0-25.6%0-32.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.1%1-111.6%1-28.3%1-33.9%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.9%2-18.5%2-26.1%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.9%3-14.2%3-23.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.1%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.1% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 36.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.7% — — —

BTTS 55.0% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 22%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1✓ 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 1–0 8.1%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dukla Praha II1.5

Slavia III1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DUKLA PRAHA II · PPG 0.84

SLAVIA III · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dukla Praha II (H) 39.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Slavia III (A) 36.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dukla Praha II face Slavia III in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dukla Praha II a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Slavia III 36%, so Dukla Praha II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Dukla Praha II and 1.4 for Slavia III (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dukla Praha II are averaging 0.84 points per game versus 1.38 for Slavia III. This match finished 2-1.

Dukla Praha II vs Slavia III Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A Predictions