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Wofoo Tai Po vs Eastern Prediction— Hong-Kong - Premier League

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 08:00

Wofoo Tai Po

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LW ···

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Eastern

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 53.5% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-16.4%0-24.4%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.0%1-110.9%1-27.4%1-33.4%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.7%2-19.2%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.8%3-15.2%3-23.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.2%4+-22.2%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.9% 47.6% 2.10 -16.2%

Draw 26.7% 27.0% 3.70 -0.7%

Away win 33.5% 35.1% 2.85 -4.5%

Over 2.5 53.5% 67.6% 1.48 -20.8%

Over 3.5 32.4% 45.5% 2.20 -28.7%

BTTS 54.3% 71.4% 1.40 -24.0%

Home O1.5 48.9% 58.8% 1.70 -16.9%

Away O1.5 40.9% 50.0% 2.00 -18.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.3%

H 40% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 7.4%

#3 2–1 9.2%

#4 0–0 4.7%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wofoo Tai Po1.7

Eastern1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.4%

Form & verdict PPG

WOFOO TAI PO · PPG 2.00

EASTERN · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Wofoo Tai Po (H) 39.9%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -16.2%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -0.7%

Eastern (A) 33.5%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -4.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wofoo Tai Po face Eastern in Hong-Kong - Premier League on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wofoo Tai Po a 40% chance, the draw 27% and Eastern 34%, so Wofoo Tai Po are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Wofoo Tai Po and 1.4 for Eastern (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wofoo Tai Po are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.23 for Eastern. This match finished 4-1.

Wofoo Tai Po vs Eastern Prediction— Hong-Kong - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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