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Madrid CFF W vs Granada Prediction— Spain - Primera División Femenina

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 19:00

Madrid CFF W

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

W ····

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Granada

PPG 1.61 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.10 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-18.0%0-25.5%0-32.5%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.6%1-111.8%1-28.0%1-33.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.3%2-18.7%2-25.9%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.1%3-14.2%3-22.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.2%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 35.2% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 33.8% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 14%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 1–0 8.6%

#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Madrid CFF W1.5

Granada1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 33.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MADRID CFF W · PPG 1.30

GRANADA · PPG 1.61

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.10 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Madrid CFF W (H) 40.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Granada (A) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Madrid CFF W face Granada in Spain - Primera División Femenina on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Madrid CFF W a 41% chance, the draw 24% and Granada 35%, so Madrid CFF W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Madrid CFF W and 1.4 for Granada (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Madrid CFF W are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.61 for Granada. This match finished 3-1.

Madrid CFF W vs Granada Prediction— Spain - Primera División Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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