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Real Sociedad W vs Edf Logrono W Prediction— Spain - Primera División Femenina

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 10:00

Real Sociedad W

PPG 2.04 · HOME

LAST 5

L ····

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Edf Logrono W

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

LAST 5

W ····

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-17.8%0-25.2%0-32.3%0-4+1.0%1 1-08.8%1-111.7%1-27.8%1-33.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-18.8%2-25.9%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.3%3-14.4%3-23.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.3%4+-21.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.3% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 34.1% — — —

Over 2.5 54.0% — — —

Over 3.5 34.5% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 14%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 2–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Sociedad W1.5

Edf Logrono W1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.0% · O3.5 PROB 34.5%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL SOCIEDAD W · PPG 2.04

EDF LOGRONO W · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.17 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Real Sociedad W (H) 42.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Edf Logrono W (A) 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Sociedad W face Edf Logrono W in Spain - Primera División Femenina on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Sociedad W a 42% chance, the draw 24% and Edf Logrono W 34%, so Real Sociedad W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Real Sociedad W and 1.3 for Edf Logrono W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Sociedad W are averaging 2.04 points per game versus 1.09 for Edf Logrono W. This match finished 0-2.

Real Sociedad W vs Edf Logrono W Prediction— Spain - Primera División Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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