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Deportivo de La Coruña W vs Sevilla W Prediction— Spain - Primera División Femenina

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 10:00

Deportivo de La Coruña W

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

L ····

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sevilla W

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

LAST 5

W ····

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-17.9%0-25.4%0-32.5%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.6%1-111.7%1-28.0%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-18.7%2-25.9%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.2%3-14.3%3-22.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.2%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.2% — — —

Draw 24.0% — — —

Away win 34.9% — — —

Over 2.5 54.5% — — —

Over 3.5 34.8% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 14%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 1–0 8.6%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo de La Coruña W1.5

Sevilla W1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.5% · O3.5 PROB 34.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO DE LA CORUÑA W · PPG 1.30

SEVILLA W · PPG 1.35

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo de La Coruña W (H) 41.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sevilla W (A) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo de La Coruña W face Sevilla W in Spain - Primera División Femenina on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo de La Coruña W a 41% chance, the draw 24% and Sevilla W 35%, so Deportivo de La Coruña W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Deportivo de La Coruña W and 1.4 for Sevilla W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo de La Coruña W are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.35 for Sevilla W. This match finished 0-1.

Deportivo de La Coruña W vs Sevilla W Prediction— Spain - Primera División Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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