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Delfines Del Este vs Jarabacoa Prediction— Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 20:00

Delfines Del Este

PPG 1.64 · HOME

LAST 5

DWW ··

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Jarabacoa

PPG 1.03 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWL ··

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.49, combined xG 2.28 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-19.2%0-24.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.2%1-112.7%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.8%2-18.8%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.5%3-14.1%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.2% — — —

Draw 29.9% — — —

Away win 23.9% — — —

Over 2.5 43.1% — — —

Over 3.5 25.1% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 38.6% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 1–0✓ 14.2%

#3 0–0 10.2%

#4 2–0 9.8%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Delfines Del Este1.4

Jarabacoa0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 25.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DELFINES DEL ESTE · PPG 1.64

JARABACOA · PPG 1.03

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.49, combined xG 2.28 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Delfines Del Este (H) 46.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jarabacoa (A) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Delfines Del Este face Jarabacoa in Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Delfines Del Este a 46% chance, the draw 30% and Jarabacoa 24%, so Delfines Del Este are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Delfines Del Este and 0.9 for Jarabacoa (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Delfines Del Este are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.03 for Jarabacoa. This match finished 1-0.

Delfines Del Este vs Jarabacoa Prediction— Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor

Match Preview & Prediction

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