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Cibao vs Delfines Del Este Prediction— Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor

Matchday 2 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 23:00

Cibao

PPG 1.96 · HOME

LAST 5

WLW ··

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Delfines Del Este

PPG 1.37 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWW ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-19.3%0-23.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.7%1-112.4%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.2%2-18.3%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.0%3-13.7%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% 54.6% 1.83 -15.3%

Draw 32.0% 31.3% 3.20 +2.4%

Away win 21.7% 25.6% 3.90 -9.2%

Over 2.5 37.8% 45.5% 2.20 -16.8%

Over 3.5 20.7% 26.5% 3.78 -13.1%

BTTS 43.7% 51.8% 1.93 -15.7%

Home O1.5 37.7% 47.4% 2.11 -20.4%

Away O1.5 18.9% 26.9% 3.72 -17.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob43.7%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 12.4%

#2 1–1 12.4%

#3 1–0 16.7%

#4 2–0 11.2%

#5 0–1✓ 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cibao1.3

Delfines Del Este0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CIBAO · PPG 1.96

DELFINES DEL ESTE · PPG 1.37

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cibao (H) 46.3%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -15.3%

Draw 32.0%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +2.4%

Delfines Del Este (A) 21.7%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -9.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cibao face Delfines Del Este in Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cibao a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Delfines Del Este 22%, so Cibao are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Cibao and 0.7 for Delfines Del Este (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cibao are averaging 1.96 points per game versus 1.37 for Delfines Del Este. This match finished 0-1.

Cibao vs Delfines Del Este Prediction— Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor

Match Preview & Prediction

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