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Atlántico vs Cibao Prediction— Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 20:00

Atlántico

PPG 1.15 · HOME

LAST 5

DLL ··

1 – 4

FULL TIME

Cibao

PPG 2.02 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLW ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-113.0%0-28.3%0-33.6%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.2%1-113.1%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.1%2-16.6%2-24.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.7%3-12.2%3-21.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.0% — — —

Draw 30.1% — — —

Away win 41.8% — — —

Over 2.5 43.1% — — —

Over 3.5 25.6% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 10.1%

#3 0–1 13.0%

#4 1–2 8.4%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atlántico1.0

Cibao1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLÁNTICO · PPG 1.15

CIBAO · PPG 2.02

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.28, combined xG 2.29 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Atlántico (H) 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cibao (A) 41.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atlántico face Cibao in Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atlántico a 28% chance, the draw 30% and Cibao 42%, so Cibao are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Atlántico and 1.3 for Cibao (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atlántico are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 2.02 for Cibao. This match finished 1-4.

Atlántico vs Cibao Prediction— Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor

Match Preview & Prediction

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