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Tabora United vs Dodoma Jiji Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:00

Tabora United

PPG 1.70 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDL ·

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Dodoma Jiji

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLW ·

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.78 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-18.0%0-22.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.2%1-111.7%1-24.0%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.5%2-18.5%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.1%3-14.1%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-12.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.0% — — —

Draw 26.5% — — —

Away win 21.5% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 23.1% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 18.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.2%

#2 2–0 12.5%

#3 0–0 11.8%

#4 1–1 11.7%

#5 0–1✓ 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tabora United1.5

Dodoma Jiji0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 23.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TABORA UNITED · PPG 1.70

DODOMA JIJI · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.78 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tabora United (H) 52.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dodoma Jiji (A) 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tabora United face Dodoma Jiji in Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tabora United a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Dodoma Jiji 22%, so Tabora United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Tabora United and 0.7 for Dodoma Jiji (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tabora United are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 0.83 for Dodoma Jiji. This match finished 0-1.

Tabora United vs Dodoma Jiji Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Match Preview & Prediction

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