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Ventforet Kofu vs Consadole Sapporo Prediction— Japan - J2 League

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 10:00

Ventforet Kofu

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLW ·

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Consadole Sapporo

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-19.6%0-26.0%0-32.5%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.0%1-112.6%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.6%2-18.3%2-25.2%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.9%3-13.6%3-22.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 35.8% — — —

Over 2.5 53.1% — — —

Over 3.5 31.4% — — —

BTTS 54.3% — — —

Home O1.5 37.2% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 22%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 2–1✓ 8.3%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 0–0 7.6%

#5 1–0 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ventforet Kofu1.3

Consadole Sapporo1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.4%

Form & verdict PPG

VENTFORET KOFU · PPG 1.17

CONSADOLE SAPPORO · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ventforet Kofu (H) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Consadole Sapporo (A) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ventforet Kofu face Consadole Sapporo in Japan - J2 League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ventforet Kofu a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Consadole Sapporo 36%, so Ventforet Kofu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ventforet Kofu and 1.3 for Consadole Sapporo (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ventforet Kofu are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.12 for Consadole Sapporo. This match finished 2-1.

Ventforet Kofu vs Consadole Sapporo Prediction— Japan - J2 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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