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Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita Prediction— Japan - J2 League

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 10:00

Tokushima Vortis

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLW ·

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Oita Trinita

PPG 1.03 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWL ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.0%0-112.8%0-25.8%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.7%1-113.5%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.8%2-17.1%2-23.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.7%3-12.5%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.3% — — —

Draw 29.8% — — —

Away win 34.9% — — —

Over 2.5 40.4% — — —

Over 3.5 20.7% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 22%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.0%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 0–1 12.8%

#4 1–0✓ 14.7%

#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tokushima Vortis1.1

Oita Trinita0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.4% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TOKUSHIMA VORTIS · PPG 1.50

OITA TRINITA · PPG 1.03

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.14, combined xG 1.97 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tokushima Vortis (H) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Oita Trinita (A) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tokushima Vortis face Oita Trinita in Japan - J2 League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tokushima Vortis a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Oita Trinita 35%, so Tokushima Vortis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Tokushima Vortis and 0.9 for Oita Trinita (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tokushima Vortis are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.03 for Oita Trinita. This match finished 1-0.

Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita Prediction— Japan - J2 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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