Today / Japan - J2 League / Kataller Toyama vs Fujieda MYFC

Kataller Toyama vs Fujieda MYFC Prediction— Japan - J2 League

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 09:30

Kataller Toyama

PPG 1.48 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWL ·

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Fujieda MYFC

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-18.5%0-24.4%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.0%1-112.4%1-26.5%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.8%2-19.1%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.3%3-14.5%3-22.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.3%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 27.1% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 30.4% — — —

BTTS 53.5% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 32.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 22%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 12.0%

#3 2–1 9.1%

#4 2–0 8.8%

#5 0–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kataller Toyama1.5

Fujieda MYFC1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KATALLER TOYAMA · PPG 1.48

FUJIEDA MYFC · PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kataller Toyama (H) 46.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fujieda MYFC (A) 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kataller Toyama face Fujieda MYFC in Japan - J2 League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kataller Toyama a 47% chance, the draw 26% and Fujieda MYFC 27%, so Kataller Toyama are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Kataller Toyama and 1.0 for Fujieda MYFC (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kataller Toyama are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 0.87 for Fujieda MYFC. This match finished 2-3.

Kataller Toyama vs Fujieda MYFC Prediction— Japan - J2 League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Japan - J2 League Predictions