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Velké Hamry vs Mladá Boleslav II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Group B · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 08:30

Velké Hamry

PPG 0.90 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLL ·

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Mladá Boleslav II

PPG 1.61 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLW ·

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -0.73 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-16.3%0-26.7%0-34.7%0-4+4.1%1 1-04.1%1-18.8%1-29.3%1-36.6%1-4+5.7%2 2-02.9%2-16.1%2-26.5%2-34.6%2-4+4.0%3 3-01.3%3-12.8%3-23.0%3-32.1%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.3%4+-21.4%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.3% — — —

Draw 19.9% — — —

Away win 56.8% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.0% — — —

BTTS 61.4% — — —

Home O1.5 39.1% — — —

Away O1.5 59.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.3%

#2 1–1 8.8%

#3 0–2 6.7%

#4 1–3 6.6%

#5 2–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Velké Hamry1.4

Mladá Boleslav II2.1

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VELKÉ HAMRY · PPG 0.90

MLADÁ BOLESLAV II · PPG 1.61

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.73 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Velké Hamry (H) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mladá Boleslav II (A) 56.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Velké Hamry face Mladá Boleslav II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Velké Hamry a 23% chance, the draw 20% and Mladá Boleslav II 57%, so Mladá Boleslav II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Velké Hamry and 2.1 for Mladá Boleslav II (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Velké Hamry are averaging 0.90 points per game versus 1.61 for Mladá Boleslav II. This match finished 0-3.

Velké Hamry vs Mladá Boleslav II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B Predictions