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Neratovice-Byškovice vs Varnsdorf Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Group B · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 08:15

Neratovice-Byškovice

PPG 1.21 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWL ·

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Varnsdorf

PPG 0.98 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-15.6%0-24.4%0-32.3%0-4+1.3%1 1-06.3%1-19.9%1-27.7%1-34.0%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.6%2-18.7%2-26.8%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.3%3-15.1%3-24.0%3-32.1%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.4%4+-22.6%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.4% — — —

Draw 23.3% — — —

Away win 35.4% — — —

Over 2.5 62.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 61.8% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2✓ 7.7%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Neratovice-Byškovice1.8

Varnsdorf1.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

NERATOVICE-BYŠKOVICE · PPG 1.21

VARNSDORF · PPG 0.98

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Neratovice-Byškovice (H) 41.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Varnsdorf (A) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Neratovice-Byškovice face Varnsdorf in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Neratovice-Byškovice a 41% chance, the draw 23% and Varnsdorf 35%, so Neratovice-Byškovice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Neratovice-Byškovice and 1.6 for Varnsdorf (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Neratovice-Byškovice are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 0.98 for Varnsdorf. This match finished 1-2.

Neratovice-Byškovice vs Varnsdorf Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Match Preview & Prediction

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