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Slovan Liberec II vs Teplice II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Group B · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 08:15

Slovan Liberec II logo
Slovan Liberec II
PPG 1.42 · HOME
LAST 5
WL ···
0 – 4
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5
Teplice II logo
Teplice II
PPG 1.38 · AWAY
LAST 5
LWWW ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.4%0-23.2%0-31.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-06.1%1-18.9%1-26.5%1-33.2%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.3%2-19.2%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.3%3-16.3%3-24.6%3-32.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-15.2%4+-23.8%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 49.5%
Draw 22.1%
Away win 28.4%
Over 2.5 63.6%
Over 3.5 42.5%
BTTS 63.1%
Home O1.5 59.1%
Away O1.5 40.9%

League track record

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%
O2.5 71%
BTTS 43%
Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%
#2 2–1 9.2%
#3 1–2 6.5%
#4 3–1 6.3%
#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovan Liberec II2.1
Teplice II1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 42.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVAN LIBEREC II · PPG 1.42

TEPLICE II · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Slovan Liberec II (H) 49.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Teplice II (A) 28.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovan Liberec II face Teplice II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovan Liberec II a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Teplice II 28%, so Slovan Liberec II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Slovan Liberec II and 1.5 for Teplice II (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovan Liberec II are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.38 for Teplice II. This match finished 0-4.

PredictVantage

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