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Aritma Praha vs Králův Dvůr Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Group A · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 08:15

Aritma Praha

PPG 1.58 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDL ·

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Králův Dvůr

PPG 1.51 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-17.4%0-25.0%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.3%1-111.4%1-27.8%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.5%2-18.9%2-26.1%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.3%3-14.6%3-23.2%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.5%4+-21.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 35.8% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.4% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 45.5% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 22%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 1–0 8.3%

#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aritma Praha1.6

Králův Dvůr1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ARITMA PRAHA · PPG 1.58

KRÁLŮV DVŮR · PPG 1.51

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Aritma Praha (H) 39.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Králův Dvůr (A) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Aritma Praha face Králův Dvůr in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aritma Praha a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Králův Dvůr 36%, so Aritma Praha are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Aritma Praha and 1.4 for Králův Dvůr (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aritma Praha are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.51 for Králův Dvůr. This match finished 0-2.

Aritma Praha vs Králův Dvůr Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL A

Match Preview & Prediction

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