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Young Africans vs Pamba Jiji Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 18:00

Young Africans

PPG 2.56 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Pamba Jiji

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLL ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +3.05 for Home, form 2.56 vs 0.82 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-10.9%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.2%1-13.1%1-20.8%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.1%2-15.5%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.1%3-16.5%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-028.9%4+-114.3%4+-23.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.9% — — —

Draw 15.3% — — —

Away win 7.8% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 48.2% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 15.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 13.1%

#2 4–0 11.6%

#3 2–0✓ 11.1%

#4 1–1 3.1%

#5 5–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Young Africans3.5

Pamba Jiji0.5

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

YOUNG AFRICANS · PPG 2.56

PAMBA JIJI · PPG 0.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.05 for Home, form 2.56 vs 0.82 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Young Africans (H) 76.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pamba Jiji (A) 7.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Young Africans face Pamba Jiji in Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Young Africans a 77% chance, the draw 15% and Pamba Jiji 8%, so Young Africans are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Young Africans and 0.5 for Pamba Jiji (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Young Africans are averaging 2.56 points per game versus 0.82 for Pamba Jiji. This match finished 2-0.

Young Africans vs Pamba Jiji Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Match Preview & Prediction

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