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Ittifaq vs Al Urooba Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1

Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 15:05

Ittifaq logo
Ittifaq
PPG 1.13 · HOME
LAST 5
LD ···
1 – 1
FULL TIME
Al Urooba logo
Al Urooba
PPG 1.73 · AWAY
LAST 5
DD ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-114.1%0-210.2%0-34.9%0-4+2.4%1 1-08.7%1-112.5%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-03.8%2-15.5%2-23.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.1%3-11.6%3-21.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 23.9%
Draw 32.0%
Away win 44.1%
Over 2.5 43.1%
Over 3.5 25.6%
BTTS 47.2%
Home O1.5 30.9%
Away O1.5 40.9%

League track record

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 100%
BTTS 33%
Score Hit 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%
#2 0–0 9.8%
#3 0–1 14.1%
#4 0–2 10.2%
#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ittifaq0.9
Al Urooba1.4

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ITTIFAQ · PPG 1.13

AL UROOBA · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -0.56 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Ittifaq (H) 23.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 32.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Al Urooba (A) 44.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ittifaq face Al Urooba in United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1 on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ittifaq a 24% chance, the draw 32% and Al Urooba 44%, so Al Urooba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ittifaq and 1.4 for Al Urooba (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ittifaq are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.73 for Al Urooba. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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