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Vega Real vs Universidad O&M Prediction— Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor

Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 21:00

Vega Real

PPG 1.32 · HOME

LAST 5

DWL ··

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Universidad O&M

PPG 0.95 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLD ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.74 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-15.7%0-23.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.4%1-110.6%1-25.9%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.7%2-19.8%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.4%3-16.1%3-23.4%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-14.4%4+-22.5%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.5% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 23.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 52.7% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1✓ 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.7%

#4 1–0 9.4%

#5 0–0 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vega Real1.9

Universidad O&M1.1

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VEGA REAL · PPG 1.32

UNIVERSIDAD O&M · PPG 0.95

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.74 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Vega Real (H) 50.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Universidad O&M (A) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vega Real face Universidad O&M in Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vega Real a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Universidad O&M 23%, so Vega Real are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Vega Real and 1.1 for Universidad O&M (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vega Real are averaging 1.32 points per game versus 0.95 for Universidad O&M. This match finished 2-1.

Vega Real vs Universidad O&M Prediction— Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor

Match Preview & Prediction

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