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Jarabacoa vs Atlántico Prediction— Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor

Matchday 2 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 20:00

Jarabacoa

PPG 0.98 · HOME

LAST 5

LWL ··

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Atlántico

PPG 1.32 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLL ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-112.1%0-27.8%0-33.4%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.1%1-113.0%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.4%2-17.0%2-24.5%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.9%3-12.5%3-21.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.4% — — —

Draw 32.4% — — —

Away win 37.2% — — —

Over 2.5 44.7% — — —

Over 3.5 25.9% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.4%

#3 0–1 12.1%

#4 1–0 10.1%

#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jarabacoa1.1

Atlántico1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.7% · O3.5 PROB 25.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JARABACOA · PPG 0.98

ATLÁNTICO · PPG 1.32

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.21, combined xG 2.37 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jarabacoa (H) 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atlántico (A) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jarabacoa face Atlántico in Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jarabacoa a 30% chance, the draw 32% and Atlántico 37%, so Atlántico are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Jarabacoa and 1.3 for Atlántico (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jarabacoa are averaging 0.98 points per game versus 1.32 for Atlántico. This match finished 2-0.

Jarabacoa vs Atlántico Prediction— Dominican-Republic - Liga Mayor

Match Preview & Prediction

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