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Coastal Union vs Tabora United Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 17:30

Coastal Union

PPG 1.27 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDL ·

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Tabora United

PPG 1.01 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDL ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-111.4%0-25.6%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.7%1-113.4%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.0%2-17.8%2-23.8%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.1%3-13.0%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% — — —

Draw 28.6% — — —

Away win 30.7% — — —

Over 2.5 43.1% — — —

Over 3.5 21.2% — — —

BTTS 48.1% — — —

Home O1.5 31.6% — — —

Away O1.5 27.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.4%

#2 1–0 13.7%

#3 0–0 11.8%

#4 0–1 11.4%

#5 2–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Coastal Union1.2

Tabora United1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 21.2%

Form & verdict PPG

COASTAL UNION · PPG 1.27

TABORA UNITED · PPG 1.01

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.19, combined xG 2.14 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Coastal Union (H) 40.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tabora United (A) 30.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Coastal Union face Tabora United in Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Coastal Union a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Tabora United 31%, so Coastal Union are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Coastal Union and 1.0 for Tabora United (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Coastal Union are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.01 for Tabora United. This match finished 1-1.

Coastal Union vs Tabora United Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Match Preview & Prediction

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