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Pohronie vs Banska Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 26 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 16:00

Pohronie

PPG 2.17 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Banska Bystrica

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-18.5%0-27.5%0-34.4%0-4+2.9%1 1-06.1%1-110.8%1-29.5%1-35.6%1-4+3.7%2 2-03.9%2-16.9%2-26.0%2-33.6%2-4+2.3%3 3-01.6%3-12.9%3-22.6%3-31.5%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.2%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.6% 32.3% 3.10 -14.4%

Draw 23.4% 30.8% 3.25 -23.9%

Away win 49.0% 50.0% 2.00 -2.0%

Over 2.5 58.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.1% — — —

BTTS 59.6% 64.5% 1.55 -7.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob59.6%

A 49% / xG 1.3-1.8 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–1 8.5%

#4 0–2 7.5%

#5 2–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pohronie1.3

Banska Bystrica1.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.1%

Form & verdict PPG

POHRONIE · PPG 2.17

BANSKA BYSTRICA · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.17), Away EXCELLENT (2.17)

Win probability 1X2

Pohronie (H) 27.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.4%

Draw 23.4%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -23.9%

Banska Bystrica (A) 49.0%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -2.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pohronie face Banska Bystrica in Slovakia - 2. liga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pohronie a 28% chance, the draw 23% and Banska Bystrica 49%, so Banska Bystrica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Pohronie and 1.8 for Banska Bystrica (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pohronie are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 2.17 for Banska Bystrica. This match finished 0-0.

Pohronie vs Banska Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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