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Zilina B vs P. Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 26 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 14:30

Zilina B

PPG 1.33 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

P. Bystrica

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.9%0-23.4%0-31.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-04.7%1-18.1%1-27.0%1-34.0%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.8%2-18.3%2-27.2%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-03.3%3-15.7%3-24.9%3-32.8%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.7%4+-24.1%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% 47.6% 2.10 -3.2%

Draw 21.1% 30.3% 3.30 -30.4%

Away win 32.8% 34.5% 2.90 -4.9%

Over 2.5 72.9% — — —

Over 3.5 52.4% — — —

BTTS 71.7% 66.7% 1.50 +7.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob71.7%

H 46% / xG 2.1-1.7 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 72%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.3%

#2 1–1 8.1%

#3 2–2✓ 7.2%

#4 1–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zilina B2.1

P. Bystrica1.7

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.9% · O3.5 PROB 52.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ZILINA B · PPG 1.33

P. BYSTRICA · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Zilina B (H) 46.1%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -3.2%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -30.4%

P. Bystrica (A) 32.8%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -4.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zilina B face P. Bystrica in Slovakia - 2. liga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zilina B a 46% chance, the draw 21% and P. Bystrica 33%, so Zilina B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Zilina B and 1.7 for P. Bystrica (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zilina B are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.92 for P. Bystrica. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +7.5%. This match finished 2-2.

Zilina B vs P. Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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