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Puchov vs I. Bratislava Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 26 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 14:30

Puchov

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

I. Bratislava

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-19.2%0-26.3%0-32.8%0-4+1.3%1 1-09.1%1-112.3%1-28.3%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.0%2-18.2%2-25.5%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.7%3-13.6%3-22.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.6%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.5% 54.6% 1.83 -33.2%

Draw 25.9% 30.3% 3.30 -14.5%

Away win 37.6% 27.8% 3.60 +35.4%

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.3% — — —

BTTS 54.6% 61.7% 1.62 -11.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.6%

A 38% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–1 9.2%

#3 1–0 9.1%

#4 1–2 8.3%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puchov1.3

I. Bratislava1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PUCHOV · PPG 1.33

I. BRATISLAVA · PPG 1.17

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Puchov (H) 36.5%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -33.2%

Draw 25.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -14.5%

I. Bratislava (A) 37.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +35.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Puchov face I. Bratislava in Slovakia - 2. liga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puchov a 37% chance, the draw 26% and I. Bratislava 38%, so I. Bratislava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Puchov and 1.4 for I. Bratislava (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puchov are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.17 for I. Bratislava. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +35.4%. This match finished 1-3.

Puchov vs I. Bratislava Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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