Today / Slovakia - 2. liga / Petrzalka vs Lehota p. V.

Petrzalka vs Lehota p. V. Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 26 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 14:30

Petrzalka

PPG 2.17 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Lehota p. V.

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 68.8% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a clear edge.

+11.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-13.9%0-21.7%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.3%1-18.7%1-23.7%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.5%2-19.7%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.5%3-17.2%3-23.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-08.0%4+-16.8%4+-22.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.8% 61.7% 1.62 +11.5%

Draw 18.4% 28.6% 3.50 -35.6%

Away win 12.8% 21.7% 4.60 -41.1%

Over 2.5 59.3% — — —

Over 3.5 37.0% — — —

BTTS 51.0% 57.8% 1.73 -11.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.0%

H 69% / xG 2.2-0.8 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.5%

#2 1–0 10.3%

#3 2–1✓ 9.7%

#4 1–1 8.7%

#5 3–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Petrzalka2.2

Lehota p. V.0.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 37.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PETRZALKA · PPG 2.17

LEHOTA P. V. · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

68%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.17), Away POOR (0.83) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Petrzalka (H) 68.8%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV +11.5%

Draw 18.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -35.6%

Lehota p. V. (A) 12.8%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -41.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Petrzalka face Lehota p. V. in Slovakia - 2. liga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Petrzalka a 69% chance, the draw 18% and Lehota p. V. 13%, so Petrzalka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Petrzalka and 0.8 for Lehota p. V. (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Petrzalka are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.83 for Lehota p. V.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Petrzalka vs Lehota p. V. Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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