Today / United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1 / Al Fujairah SC vs Al Jazira Al Hamra

Al Fujairah SC vs Al Jazira Al Hamra Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:15

Al Fujairah SC

PPG 1.78 · HOME

LAST 5

WL ···

6 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Al Jazira Al Hamra

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

LAST 5

LD ···

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-15.5%0-23.7%0-31.7%0-4+0.8%1 1-07.5%1-110.2%1-26.9%1-33.1%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.0%2-19.4%2-26.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.3%3-15.8%3-23.9%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-14.1%4+-22.8%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.2% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 28.9% — — —

Over 2.5 62.7% — — —

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 54.9% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–2 6.9%

#4 2–0 7.0%

#5 1–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Fujairah SC1.9

Al Jazira Al Hamra1.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.7% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL FUJAIRAH SC · PPG 1.78

AL JAZIRA AL HAMRA · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.50 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Fujairah SC (H) 48.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Jazira Al Hamra (A) 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Fujairah SC face Al Jazira Al Hamra in United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Fujairah SC a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Al Jazira Al Hamra 29%, so Al Fujairah SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Al Fujairah SC and 1.4 for Al Jazira Al Hamra (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Fujairah SC are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.13 for Al Jazira Al Hamra. This match finished 6-0.

Al Fujairah SC vs Al Jazira Al Hamra Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More United-Arab-Emirates - Division 1 Predictions