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Singida Black Stars vs Simba Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00

Singida Black Stars

PPG 2.02 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLWW

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Simba

PPG 2.31 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-110.5%0-26.0%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.4%1-113.1%1-27.5%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.1%2-18.1%2-24.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.9%3-13.4%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.8% — — —

Draw 27.5% — — —

Away win 33.6% — — —

Over 2.5 49.8% — — —

Over 3.5 28.1% — — —

BTTS 53.0% — — —

Home O1.5 34.7% — — —

Away O1.5 35.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 1–0 11.4%

#3 0–0 9.1%

#4 0–1 10.5%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Singida Black Stars1.2

Simba1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SINGIDA BLACK STARS · PPG 2.02

SIMBA · PPG 2.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.09, combined xG 2.39 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Singida Black Stars (H) 38.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Simba (A) 33.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Singida Black Stars face Simba in Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Singida Black Stars a 39% chance, the draw 28% and Simba 34%, so Singida Black Stars are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Singida Black Stars and 1.1 for Simba (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Singida Black Stars are averaging 2.02 points per game versus 2.31 for Simba. This match finished 1-2.

Singida Black Stars vs Simba Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Match Preview & Prediction

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