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Azam vs Tabora United Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Matchday 2 ·Thursday, August 20, 2026, 18:00

Azam

PPG 2.13 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWDW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Tabora United

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDL ·

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.92 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.2%0-17.4%0-21.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-020.4%1-110.6%1-22.7%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.6%2-17.6%2-22.0%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-07.0%3-13.6%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-11.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.4% — — —

Draw 28.6% — — —

Away win 21.0% — — —

Over 2.5 36.4% — — —

Over 3.5 18.3% — — —

BTTS 43.6% — — —

Home O1.5 40.0% — — —

Away O1.5 16.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.4%

#2 0–0 14.2%

#3 2–0 14.6%

#4 1–1 10.6%

#5 0–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Azam1.4

Tabora United0.5

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.4% · O3.5 PROB 18.3%

Form & verdict PPG

AZAM · PPG 2.13

TABORA UNITED · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.92 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Azam (H) 50.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tabora United (A) 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Azam face Tabora United in Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara on Thursday, August 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Azam a 50% chance, the draw 29% and Tabora United 21%, so Azam are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Azam and 0.5 for Tabora United (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Azam are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.18 for Tabora United. This match finished 2-1.

Azam vs Tabora United Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Match Preview & Prediction

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