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Young Africans vs Coastal Union Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Matchday 2 ·Thursday, August 20, 2026, 15:30

Young Africans

PPG 2.39 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Coastal Union

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDL ·

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +2.25 for Home, form 2.39 vs 1.09 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-11.9%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.8%1-15.3%1-21.3%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-014.8%2-17.3%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.6%3-16.7%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-018.1%4+-18.9%4+-22.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.7% — — —

Draw 19.1% — — —

Away win 8.1% — — —

Over 2.5 54.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.6% — — —

BTTS 43.6% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 16.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.8%

#2 3–0 13.6%

#3 1–1 5.3%

#4 1–0 10.8%

#5 4–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Young Africans2.7

Coastal Union0.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

YOUNG AFRICANS · PPG 2.39

COASTAL UNION · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.25 for Home, form 2.39 vs 1.09 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Young Africans (H) 72.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Coastal Union (A) 8.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Young Africans face Coastal Union in Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara on Thursday, August 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Young Africans a 73% chance, the draw 19% and Coastal Union 8%, so Young Africans are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Young Africans and 0.5 for Coastal Union (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Young Africans are averaging 2.39 points per game versus 1.09 for Coastal Union. This match finished 4-1.

Young Africans vs Coastal Union Prediction— Tanzania - Ligi kuu Bara

Match Preview & Prediction

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