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Ózd Sajóvölgye vs Cigand SE Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Northeast · Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 15:30

Ózd Sajóvölgye

PPG 1.48 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cigand SE

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-17.1%0-24.6%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.7%1-111.4%1-27.4%1-33.2%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.0%2-19.2%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.8%3-14.9%3-23.2%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.9%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 29.7% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 47.2% — — —

Away O1.5 39.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 17%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 83%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.3%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 0–0 5.4%

#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ózd Sajóvölgye1.6

Cigand SE1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ÓZD SAJÓVÖLGYE · PPG 1.48

CIGAND SE · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ózd Sajóvölgye (H) 45.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cigand SE (A) 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ózd Sajóvölgye face Cigand SE in Hungary - NB III - Northeast on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ózd Sajóvölgye a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Cigand SE 30%, so Ózd Sajóvölgye are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Ózd Sajóvölgye and 1.3 for Cigand SE (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ózd Sajóvölgye are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.56 for Cigand SE.

Ózd Sajóvölgye vs Cigand SE Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Match Preview & Prediction

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