Today / Hungary - NB III - Northeast / Eger vs Tiszafuredi VSE

Eger vs Tiszafuredi VSE Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Northeast · Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 15:00

Eger logo
Eger
PPG 1.61 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Tiszafuredi VSE logo
Tiszafuredi VSE
PPG 1.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-16.5%0-24.5%0-32.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.9%1-110.9%1-27.5%1-33.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-19.1%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.7%3-15.1%3-23.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.1%4+-22.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.2%
Draw 24.8%
Away win 29.0%
Over 2.5 60.4%
Over 3.5 37.3%
BTTS 61.8%
Home O1.5 49.0%
Away O1.5 43.7%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.8%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%
#2 2–1 9.1%
#3 1–2 7.5%
#4 2–0 6.6%
#5 0–0 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eger1.7
Tiszafuredi VSE1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

EGER · PPG 1.61

TISZAFUREDI VSE · PPG 1.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Eger (H) 46.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Tiszafuredi VSE (A) 29.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eger face Tiszafuredi VSE in Hungary - NB III - Northeast on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eger a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Tiszafuredi VSE 29%, so Eger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Eger and 1.4 for Tiszafuredi VSE (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eger are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.78 for Tiszafuredi VSE.

PredictVantage

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