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Vrchovina vs Blansko Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL - 1 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 15:00

Vrchovina logo
Vrchovina
PPG 1.71 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Blansko logo
Blansko
PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-13.4%0-22.1%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-06.3%1-18.0%1-25.1%1-32.1%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.4%2-19.4%2-25.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.8%3-17.4%3-24.7%3-32.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-17.6%4+-24.8%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 55.7%
Draw 22.2%
Away win 22.1%
Over 2.5 67.0%
Over 3.5 44.8%
BTTS 62.4%
Home O1.5 60.1%
Away O1.5 36.6%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.4%

H 56% / xG 2.4-1.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.4%
#2 1–1 8.0%
#3 2–0 7.4%
#4 3–1 7.4%
#5 2–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vrchovina2.4
Blansko1.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VRCHOVINA · PPG 1.71

BLANSKO · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.09 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Vrchovina (H) 55.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Blansko (A) 22.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vrchovina face Blansko in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vrchovina a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Blansko 22%, so Vrchovina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Vrchovina and 1.3 for Blansko (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vrchovina are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.14 for Blansko.

PredictVantage

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