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Cigand SE vs Tiszaújváros Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Northeast · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:30

Cigand SE logo
Cigand SE
PPG 1.60 · HOME
3 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Tiszaújváros logo
Tiszaújváros
PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.29 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-14.4%0-21.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.2%1-19.2%1-23.8%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.8%2-19.8%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.3%3-16.9%3-22.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-07.2%4+-15.9%4+-22.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 61.7%
Draw 21.5%
Away win 16.9%
Over 2.5 60.4%
Over 3.5 36.8%
BTTS 53.1%
Home O1.5 61.4%
Away O1.5 20.4%

League track record

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 17%
O2.5 83%
BTTS 83%
Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-1
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.1%

H 62% / xG 2.1-0.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.8%
#2 1–1 9.2%
#3 1–0 11.2%
#4 2–1 9.8%
#5 3–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cigand SE2.1
Tiszaújváros0.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CIGAND SE · PPG 1.60

TISZAÚJVÁROS · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.29 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cigand SE (H) 61.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Tiszaújváros (A) 16.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cigand SE face Tiszaújváros in Hungary - NB III - Northeast on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cigand SE a 62% chance, the draw 22% and Tiszaújváros 17%, so Cigand SE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Cigand SE and 0.8 for Tiszaújváros (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cigand SE are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.13 for Tiszaújváros. This match finished 3-1.

PredictVantage

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