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Tiszafuredi VSE vs Ózd Sajóvölgye Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Northeast · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:30

Tiszafuredi VSE

PPG 1.27 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Ózd Sajóvölgye

PPG 1.37 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-16.3%0-23.9%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.0%1-111.0%1-26.7%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.6%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.5%3-15.5%3-23.4%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-13.5%4+-22.2%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.4% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.8% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 35.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 17%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 83%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.9%

H 49% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 1–0 9.0%

#5 0–0 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tiszafuredi VSE1.7

Ózd Sajóvölgye1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TISZAFUREDI VSE · PPG 1.27

ÓZD SAJÓVÖLGYE · PPG 1.37

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tiszafuredi VSE (H) 49.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ózd Sajóvölgye (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tiszafuredi VSE face Ózd Sajóvölgye in Hungary - NB III - Northeast on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tiszafuredi VSE a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Ózd Sajóvölgye 26%, so Tiszafuredi VSE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Tiszafuredi VSE and 1.2 for Ózd Sajóvölgye (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tiszafuredi VSE are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.37 for Ózd Sajóvölgye. This match finished 0-2.

Tiszafuredi VSE vs Ózd Sajóvölgye Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Match Preview & Prediction

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