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Nacional Potosí vs The Strongest Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura · Matchday 13 ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 22:00

Nacional Potosí

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

The Strongest

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.2%0-111.8%0-25.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.9%1-113.3%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.4%2-17.5%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.2%3-12.8%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.9% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 27.4% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.5% — — —

BTTS 49.1% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 23.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.1%

H 45% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 13.2%

#3 1–0 14.9%

#4 0–1 11.8%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nacional Potosí1.1

The Strongest0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

NACIONAL POTOSÍ · PPG 2.00

THE STRONGEST · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.23, combined xG 2.02 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Nacional Potosí (H) 44.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

The Strongest (A) 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nacional Potosí face The Strongest in Bolivia - Primera División on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nacional Potosí a 45% chance, the draw 28% and The Strongest 27%, so Nacional Potosí are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Nacional Potosí and 0.9 for The Strongest (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nacional Potosí are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for The Strongest.

Nacional Potosí vs The Strongest Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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