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Cacahuatique vs Águila Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Apertura · Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 21:00

Cacahuatique

PPG 1.23 · HOME

UPCOMING

Águila

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.01 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-19.3%0-26.2%0-32.8%0-4+1.2%1 1-09.3%1-112.4%1-28.3%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.1%2-18.2%2-25.5%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.7%3-13.6%3-22.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.6%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.4% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 34.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 33.2% — — —

BTTS 60.0% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%

O2.5 25%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.0%

A 35% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.0%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 2–1 8.2%

#5 0–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cacahuatique1.3

Águila1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 33.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CACAHUATIQUE · PPG 1.23

ÁGUILA · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.01 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cacahuatique (H) 40.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Águila (A) 34.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cacahuatique face Águila in El-Salvador - Primera Division on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cacahuatique a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Águila 35%, so Cacahuatique are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Cacahuatique and 1.3 for Águila (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cacahuatique are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.45 for Águila.

Cacahuatique vs Águila Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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