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Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Yantra 2019 Prediction— Bulgaria - Second League

Matchday 2 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 15:45

Etar Veliko Tarnovo

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yantra 2019

PPG 1.90 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 55.8% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-15.6%0-22.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.8%1-110.5%1-24.7%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.0%2-19.9%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.9%3-16.2%3-22.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-14.4%4+-22.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.8% 55.6% 1.80 +0.4%

Draw 22.5% 30.3% 3.30 -15.4%

Away win 21.7% 25.6% 3.90 -9.2%

Over 2.5 53.4% 54.1% 1.85 -1.2%

Over 3.5 32.2% 32.5% 3.08 -0.8%

BTTS 52.6% 57.8% 1.73 -9.0%

Home O1.5 53.6% 49.8% 2.01 +7.7%

Away O1.5 24.4% 34.1% 2.93 -17.1%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 56% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–0 11.0%

#3 1–0 11.8%

#4 2–1 9.9%

#5 0–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Etar Veliko Tarnovo1.9

Yantra 20190.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ETAR VELIKO TARNOVO · PPG 1.62

YANTRA 2019 · PPG 1.90

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.98 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Etar Veliko Tarnovo (H) 55.8%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV +0.4%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -15.4%

Yantra 2019 (A) 21.7%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -9.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Etar Veliko Tarnovo face Yantra 2019 in Bulgaria - Second League on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Etar Veliko Tarnovo a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Yantra 2019 22%, so Etar Veliko Tarnovo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Etar Veliko Tarnovo and 0.9 for Yantra 2019 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Etar Veliko Tarnovo are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.90 for Yantra 2019. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +13.7%.

Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Yantra 2019 Prediction— Bulgaria - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

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