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Gamla Upsala W vs KIF Örebro W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 14:00

Gamla Upsala W logo
Gamla Upsala W
PPG 0.40 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
KIF Örebro W logo
KIF Örebro W
PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.68 for Away, form 0.40 vs 2.00

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-15.9%0-28.2%0-37.5%0-4+10.1%1 1-02.3%1-16.4%1-28.8%1-38.1%1-4+10.9%2 2-01.3%2-13.5%2-24.8%2-34.4%2-4+5.9%3 3-00.5%3-11.2%3-21.7%3-31.6%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 13.7%
Draw 18.0%
Away win 68.3%
Over 2.5 67.0%
Over 3.5 44.5%
BTTS 62.5%
Home O1.5 35.0%
Away O1.5 67.0%

League track record

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 14%
BTTS 29%
Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 76%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob62.5%

A 68% / xG 1.1-2.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.8%
#2 0–2 8.2%
#3 1–3 8.1%
#4 0–3 7.5%
#5 1–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gamla Upsala W1.1
KIF Örebro W2.8

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GAMLA UPSALA W · PPG 0.40

KIF ÖREBRO W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.68 for Away, form 0.40 vs 2.00

Win probability 1X2

Gamla Upsala W (H) 13.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 18.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
KIF Örebro W (A) 68.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gamla Upsala W face KIF Örebro W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gamla Upsala W a 14% chance, the draw 18% and KIF Örebro W 68%, so KIF Örebro W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Gamla Upsala W and 2.8 for KIF Örebro W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gamla Upsala W are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 2.00 for KIF Örebro W.

PredictVantage

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