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Enskede W vs Häcken II W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Enskede W

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Häcken II W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 77.3% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-11.6%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.3%1-15.0%1-22.0%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.7%2-17.8%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.1%3-18.0%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-016.9%4+-113.5%4+-25.4%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.3% 84.7% 1.18 -14.7%

Draw 17.9% 16.7% 6.00 +4.4%

Away win 9.8% 10.0% 10.00 -1.2%

Over 2.5 67.0% 71.4% 1.40 -6.2%

Over 3.5 44.5% 48.1% 2.08 -7.4%

BTTS 53.0% 49.8% 2.01 +6.5%

Home O1.5 77.3% 78.1% 1.28 -1.1%

Away O1.5 20.1% 17.1% 5.85 +10.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 14%

BTTS 29%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.0%

H 72% / xG 3.1-0.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 10.1%

#2 2–0 9.7%

#3 3–1 8.0%

#4 4–0 7.8%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Enskede W3.1

Häcken II W0.8

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ENSKEDE W · PPG 1.75

HÄCKEN II W · PPG 0.00

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.30 for Home, form 1.75 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Enskede W (H) 72.3%

ODDS 1.18 · IMPLIED 84.7% EV -14.7%

Draw 17.9%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +4.4%

Häcken II W (A) 9.8%

ODDS 10.00 · IMPLIED 10.0% EV -1.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Enskede W face Häcken II W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Enskede W a 72% chance, the draw 18% and Häcken II W 10%, so Enskede W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Enskede W and 0.8 for Häcken II W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Enskede W are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.00 for Häcken II W. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +10.5%.

Enskede W vs Häcken II W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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