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Trelleborg W vs Linköping W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Trelleborg W

PPG 2.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Linköping W

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 55.8% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-110.5%0-29.5%0-35.7%0-4+3.9%1 1-06.0%1-110.9%1-29.9%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.1%2-15.7%2-25.1%2-33.1%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.1%3-12.0%3-21.8%3-31.1%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.8% 29.4% 3.40 -5.3%

Draw 24.0% 26.3% 3.80 -5.3%

Away win 49.2% 55.6% 1.80 -11.4%

Over 2.5 55.8% 63.7% 1.57 -12.4%

Over 3.5 34.7% 41.5% 2.41 -16.4%

BTTS 55.4% 64.5% 1.55 -14.1%

Home O1.5 35.0% 36.8% 2.72 -4.8%

Away O1.5 49.0% 60.6% 1.65 -19.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 14%

BTTS 29%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob55.4%

A 49% / xG 1.0-1.8 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.5%

#4 0–1 10.5%

#5 0–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trelleborg W1.0

Linköping W1.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.8% · O3.5 PROB 34.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TRELLEBORG W · PPG 2.40

LINKÖPING W · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.77 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Trelleborg W (H) 26.8%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -5.3%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -5.3%

Linköping W (A) 49.2%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -11.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Trelleborg W face Linköping W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trelleborg W a 27% chance, the draw 24% and Linköping W 49%, so Linköping W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Trelleborg W and 1.8 for Linköping W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trelleborg W are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 2.60 for Linköping W.

Trelleborg W vs Linköping W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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